Elon Musk lastly admits Tesla’s HW3 won’t help full self-driving and that he doesn’t truly know what it’ll take.
Thousands and thousands of Tesla automobiles are geared up with HW3 computer systems.
For the higher a part of the yr, we have now been reporting that Tesla can’t obtain its promise of “full self-driving on HW3, and it wants to return clear about it.
CEO Elon Musk lastly took a primary step in that path through the convention name following the discharge of Tesla’s Q3 2024 monetary outcomes.
The CEO mentioned when requested about Tesla attaining its promised unsupervised self-driving on HW3 automobiles:
We aren’t 100% certain. HW4 has a number of instances the aptitude of HW3. It’s simpler to get issues to work on HW4 and it takes numerous efforts to squeeze that into HW3. There’s some likelihood that HW3 doesn’t obtain the security stage that permits for unsupervised FSD.
That is the primary time that Musk admitted that HW3 might probably not help unsupervised self-driving.
Nevertheless, as we beforehand reported, Tesla is at present utilizing each NN nodes on HW3 although one was initially meant as redundancy, which you must obtain Tesla’s promised stage 4-5 autonomy.
This makes it just about unattainable for Tesla to ship on its promise as Tesla would want to maintain growing software program to unravel self-driving, which remains to be removed from conducting, after which not solely have it on HW3, however optimize it sufficient to suit on a single node.
He mentioned that Tesla would provide a pc improve if Tesla discovered for certain that it couldn’t ship on HW3:
If that seems to be the case, we are going to improve those that purchased HW3 FSD totally free. And we have now designed the system to be upgradable.
Whereas the system is certainly “upgradable”, as Musk himself beforehand said, HW3 can’t be upgraded to HW4 because it at present exist.
He mentioned it wouldn’t make sense, and he’s proper. We all know that HW4 makes use of completely different energy and digicam harnesses. The entire pc can also be a special kind issue that will make it exhausting to suit the place the HW3 is put in.
Tesla would want to design a brand new model of the HW4 that may be retrofitted into HW3 automobiles.
Musk insists that HW3 cameras are “succesful”, although HW4 cameras have about 5x extra megapixels, which might level to him seeing the compute energy as the larger challenge.
Electrek’s Take
I feel the extra essential remark is that this:
“We don’t truly know the reply to that.”
Once more, I’d enterprise to say that this isn’t true. They know the reply and the reply isn’t any for the explanations said above, however even when that was an correct assertion, it must be worrying.
Elon admits that he, or Tesla actually, doesn’t know exactly what it takes to get to full autonomy. That must be clear to anybody who has been following his feedback on it for years. He mentioned yearly for the final 5 years that Tesla would resolve autonomy by the top of the yr.
Now, he’s assured that this may occur subsequent yr, and we should always consider him. Why?
The details are that Tesla was flawed about the truth that HW2.5 is able to self-driving. It was flawed about HW3 being able to self-driving, and it is vitally doubtless flawed about HW4 being able to self-driving. On the very least, it gained’t know for certain till it solves it.
If that’s the case, why is Tesla promoting the “Full Self-Driving” bundle and saying it’ll occur subsequent yr?
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